Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.159336 0.176020 0.193049 0.211688 0.231476 0.251819 0.274273
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.139521 0.162870 0.187527 0.215372 0.245815 0.277961 0.314349
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.122850 0.150753 0.181126 0.216364 0.255848 0.298463 0.347676
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.110050 0.141466 0.176628 0.218411 0.266237 0.318825 0.380573
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.097943 0.131780 0.170682 0.217968 0.273166 0.334886 0.408437
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.090369 0.126683 0.169437 0.222432 0.285334 0.356658 0.442694
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.082028 0.119908 0.165589 0.223315 0.292944 0.372953 0.470574
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.074410 0.113392 0.161518 0.223466 0.299330 0.387587 0.496402
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.067033 0.106585 0.156584 0.222124 0.303575 0.399457 0.518847
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.061792 0.102172 0.154324 0.223805 0.311272 0.415291 0.545915
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.058822 0.100586 0.155519 0.229698 0.324074 0.437245 0.580335
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.054127 0.096238 0.152796 0.230342 0.330169 0.450976 0.604861
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.051209 0.094332 0.153345 0.235349 0.342004 0.472091 0.638858
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047354 0.090766 0.151420 0.236945 0.349409 0.487739 0.666269
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043173 0.086386 0.148113 0.236493 0.354045 0.499876 0.689378
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039878 0.083109 0.146153 0.237694 0.360710 0.514499 0.715560
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036200 0.078927 0.142660 0.236605 0.364237 0.525090 0.736722
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034337 0.077548 0.143132 0.240913 0.374847 0.544654 0.769112
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.031657 0.074583 0.141093 0.241585 0.380535 0.557913 0.793631
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.029025 0.071480 0.138674 0.241578 0.385216 0.569833 0.816463
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.026255 0.067885 0.135310 0.240059 0.387731 0.578887 0.835644
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.024427 0.065844 0.134237 0.241760 0.394580 0.593543 0.861962
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.023674 0.065757 0.136216 0.247914 0.407570 0.616264 0.898664